one lucky ticket holder yesterday. i was disappointed that it got hit, but i still like this card today:
r1: ohforcraftssakes. stormy spirit has done me right her last two races, but i think 'craft is a standout in here. she has tactical speed and with proudl luis jauregui in the irons, we're assured a higher price than she should be. glatt's layoff stats aren't great, but that won't scare me off her.
r2: gypsy jazz. i think third half is the horse to beat for amerman/frankel/valdivia, but we're going to get a decent price with 'gypsy breaking from the rail on the stretch out with stevens. unbridled is not the best turf sire in the world (we've got some beasts in here-(the competition is by kingmambo, sky classic, dynaformer, theatrical, sadler's wells, and dixieland band- look at the grass sires thread if you need any introduction to these horses), but mandella tends to be patient with these types of horses. he was dead on the board in his debut, but showed some speed, and now will look to take them gate to wire from the rail with gary. should be a fun race to watch & wager.
r3: salvaje memo. i told you i liked this card, i'm playing the first three races. i bet memo last out and we got very lucky to win that race at 7/1 b/c the two favorites had all kinds of problems into the turn we gf almeida saved all the ground to win. however, i think 'memo will move up from that effort and the compeittion doesn't look like any world beaters, so i'll play him at 3/1 or better.
r5: night life. i like playing touch of the blues b/c he's usually a decent price in those 1 and g2 races. well, he'll probably be favored here, and i'm looking to beat him. he gives them so much ground into the stretch that he has to be tons the best and lucky in order to weave through the field and win. with this caliber of horses, the front runners probably will not be giving that much ground in the run for home. i'm backing night life. 'life has burned me before, but he's an honest, hard trying colt and has been freshened a bit for this one. van rouge will be cutting the pace and i look for night life to make a sweeping move on the turn. i'm officially begging victor espinoza to not try to find a hole at the rail b/c he will get shut off and lose all chance. if he comes wide, we got a chance to nail 'em on the wire at a good price. the others that look appealing are the aforementioned van rouge and investor's dream, who is marooned on the outside. suances is the most talented animal, but he probably needs a race or two to show his best.
r6: siphonizer. look, the entry will be double tough, but they're going to be 6/5 or worse. siphonizer, by top-class siphon, should come out running under david flores. mandella is good with debut runners and if he beraks, i smell wire to wire. the baffert entry will take some beating, but that's why we'll get a price on siphonizer.
r9: poydras. i wish she had a race over the track, but she made a big move to just miss last out at churchill. don't know if the rail will kill her b/c she probably hasn't seen all this california speed to her outside and she may just shuffle herself back to last. if she can maintain position, she'll be tough in the lane and she should also be a decent price in here.
good luck. heading out of town for the weekend, so be back on monday or wednesday.
r1: ohforcraftssakes. stormy spirit has done me right her last two races, but i think 'craft is a standout in here. she has tactical speed and with proudl luis jauregui in the irons, we're assured a higher price than she should be. glatt's layoff stats aren't great, but that won't scare me off her.
r2: gypsy jazz. i think third half is the horse to beat for amerman/frankel/valdivia, but we're going to get a decent price with 'gypsy breaking from the rail on the stretch out with stevens. unbridled is not the best turf sire in the world (we've got some beasts in here-(the competition is by kingmambo, sky classic, dynaformer, theatrical, sadler's wells, and dixieland band- look at the grass sires thread if you need any introduction to these horses), but mandella tends to be patient with these types of horses. he was dead on the board in his debut, but showed some speed, and now will look to take them gate to wire from the rail with gary. should be a fun race to watch & wager.
r3: salvaje memo. i told you i liked this card, i'm playing the first three races. i bet memo last out and we got very lucky to win that race at 7/1 b/c the two favorites had all kinds of problems into the turn we gf almeida saved all the ground to win. however, i think 'memo will move up from that effort and the compeittion doesn't look like any world beaters, so i'll play him at 3/1 or better.
r5: night life. i like playing touch of the blues b/c he's usually a decent price in those 1 and g2 races. well, he'll probably be favored here, and i'm looking to beat him. he gives them so much ground into the stretch that he has to be tons the best and lucky in order to weave through the field and win. with this caliber of horses, the front runners probably will not be giving that much ground in the run for home. i'm backing night life. 'life has burned me before, but he's an honest, hard trying colt and has been freshened a bit for this one. van rouge will be cutting the pace and i look for night life to make a sweeping move on the turn. i'm officially begging victor espinoza to not try to find a hole at the rail b/c he will get shut off and lose all chance. if he comes wide, we got a chance to nail 'em on the wire at a good price. the others that look appealing are the aforementioned van rouge and investor's dream, who is marooned on the outside. suances is the most talented animal, but he probably needs a race or two to show his best.
r6: siphonizer. look, the entry will be double tough, but they're going to be 6/5 or worse. siphonizer, by top-class siphon, should come out running under david flores. mandella is good with debut runners and if he beraks, i smell wire to wire. the baffert entry will take some beating, but that's why we'll get a price on siphonizer.
r9: poydras. i wish she had a race over the track, but she made a big move to just miss last out at churchill. don't know if the rail will kill her b/c she probably hasn't seen all this california speed to her outside and she may just shuffle herself back to last. if she can maintain position, she'll be tough in the lane and she should also be a decent price in here.
good luck. heading out of town for the weekend, so be back on monday or wednesday.
